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EIGHT JANUARY POLLS MATCH TRUMP VS. DEMS; SOME DEMS HAVE SOLID LEADS BUT TRUMP IS COMPETITIVE – Bloomberg now matches Biden and Sanders Against Trump

A look at eight general election polls released in January show that the major Democratic contenders lead Trump in five out of the eight polls, including Fox News and CNN. Three other polls, including ABC/Washington Post and Investors Business Daily, show a much closer election.

Three pollsters used very large samples of voters, in the several thousand, and those polls showed most of the Democrats with decent to solid leads. They included the LA Times/USC, SURVEY USA, and Morning Consult.

Here are the results:

nine polls in january

Senators Sanders and Warren, Mayor Buttigieg, and Vice-President Biden were choices for the voters in all eight of the polls. Mayor Michael Bloomberg was in six of eight, and Senator Amy Klobuchar was in five of the eight polls.

Major polling analysts and aggregators, like 538.com and Real Clear Politics, track results by taking the averages of a group over time and presenting those averages as the most useful method of determining the state of an upcoming election. Here are the averages for all these January polls for the Democrats vs. Trump, as well as the margin vs. Trump for each of those averages for the candidates.

margins

As one can see, Senator Sanders, Mayor Bloomberg, and Vice-President Biden all average about five point leads against Trump, and reach 50% or more support against Trump in several of the pollster matchups. Senators Warren and Klobuchar, and Mayor Buttigieg, average one to one-and one-half point leads against the President.

 

 

 

 

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