The New York City Department of Health has been publishing daily vaccination counts and rates at which the overall population and different groups have been getting vaccinated. The population baseline the City has been using comes from a US Census July 2019 estimate of the City’s population, shown here below in an excerpt from the NYC DOH website. The population shown is 8.336 million persons, and the overall rate for the entire population ( age 0 and up) receiving at least one dose is 65%, and fully vaccinated is 58%.
In the table beneath the DOH data is the Aug. 12th US Census count of the population, taken from the City’s Department of City Planning, showing NYC on April 1,2020, had 8.804 million people.
What does this mean? It says the City is overestimating the percentage of its population that is vaccinated because the actual population is higher than the baseline it is using to make the estimates. My calculation is that DOH is off by about 3 1/2 percentage points for the total population. For the adult population the proportion is lower.I made some estimates for the adult population below the table for the 2020 Census numbers.
New York City’s population, total and by borough, followed by NYS and the nation. Link below is to NYC Planning Department.
The City had been estimating its adult population vaccination rate at 76.9% with one dose, and 69.7% fully vaccinated. With a larger population, I make a rough estimate that instead the adult population with one dose is 72.8%, and fully vaccinated 66%.
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